Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 2819.230142 3048.167682 3280.120653 3532.409487 3798.761451 4071.285399 4370.880023
2025-01-05 2449.715064 2790.834518 3149.412997 3553.224840 3994.084212 4459.573137 4986.995443
2025-01-12 2201.512137 2608.665327 3048.531517 3556.565563 4124.613757 4737.717466 5446.935489
2025-01-19 1944.245019 2386.923452 2876.991305 3455.694484 4116.231628 4842.595457 5697.549280
2025-01-26 1859.418123 2348.719602 2901.044203 3564.717628 4334.431576 5193.033139 6217.007643
2025-02-02 1767.868356 2293.209202 2897.000336 3634.165221 4501.551862 5481.566613 6664.055640
2025-02-09 1650.462527 2198.030606 2838.628771 3632.941240 4580.652681 5664.564370 6986.921466
2025-02-16 1533.615856 2095.740026 2764.803098 3606.855508 4624.901265 5802.725828 7254.560397
2025-02-23 1461.972544 2044.359876 2748.227410 3645.741696 4743.397919 6025.995835 7621.020081
2025-03-02 1376.603469 1970.588347 2699.661132 3641.561761 4806.729494 6181.589067 7906.206987
2025-03-09 1324.978765 1936.775154 2698.093551 3693.042097 4936.155377 6415.466924 8284.991022
2025-03-16 1242.272623 1858.085749 2635.982025 3665.341645 4965.280443 6526.254380 8514.635462
2025-03-23 1207.109394 1841.651263 2653.587842 3739.438527 5123.156874 6797.373790 8944.113528
2025-03-30 1152.186575 1796.011445 2631.322508 3761.147254 5214.753522 6987.634105 9276.656292
2025-04-06 1094.097186 1743.000132 2596.743122 3764.631378 5281.547981 7146.270138 9570.255430
2025-04-13 998.386974 1633.009732 2482.114498 3659.414499 5205.818223 7124.445305 9638.331564
2025-04-20 990.558377 1646.621135 2533.456331 3773.133223 5412.487732 7457.701525 10150.092509
2025-04-27 968.465794 1638.445933 2554.194482 3845.552081 5565.604694 7724.143713 10579.939692
2025-05-04 922.031373 1592.639691 2521.279654 3844.275864 5621.270376 7866.448232 10853.966264
2025-05-11 869.764199 1535.756364 2470.745285 3817.075749 5641.156925 7962.003956 11068.456149
2025-05-18 842.661805 1515.287119 2470.337923 3857.622382 5750.495383 8172.546137 11429.895887
2025-05-25 802.940756 1473.769966 2438.404079 3853.264189 5798.851251 8303.888844 11690.405227
2025-06-01 783.117055 1462.016620 2448.497678 3906.936219 5925.201926 8536.954445 12082.594043